Isikhathi sokufunda esilinganiselwe: 6 imizuzu
Ngokusho kukaHans Moravic , igama le I-Moravic Paradox , amarobhothi ayoba ahlakaniphe kakhulu noma adlule ukuhlakanipha kwabantu ngo-2040, futhi ekugcineni, njengezilwane ezivelele, ayomane asilondoloze njengemyuziyamu ephilayo ukuze ahloniphe izinhlobo eziwalethile. .
Umbono onethemba elikhulu ukuthi ukuhlakanipha komuntu, okuhambisana nokuncane esikwaziyo ngokuqaphela, imizwelo, kanye ne-grey yethu, kuhluke kakhulu.
Ngakho ngenkathi ubuchwepheshe kanyeubuhlakani bokufakelwa iyaguquka futhi isungule, ake sizame ukuhlaziya izihloko ezithile zokuthi izinqumo zomuntu zehluka kanjani emishinini.
Ukuchema kuqinile, futhi izimpikiswano eziphikisayo ziphakamisa ukuthi izindlela ezisetshenziswayo ukuhlola imiphumela yazo "emibi" nengenangqondo ziyehluleka ukulandisa ngezinto eziningi ezibalulekile zomhlaba wangempela.
Uma sibheka izinqumo zamasu noma ezibalulekile, ezithathwe ngaphansi kwezimo zokungaqiniseki okukhulu, nangaphansi kwezimo zokucindezeleka, kuneziguquko ezingenakubalwa ezididayo ezingaphezu kwamandla ethu.
Lokhu kuqala ukuletha imibuzo eminingi ethokozisayo…
Gary Klein , Gerd Gigerenzer , Phil Rosenzweig kanti abanye baphikisa ngokuthi lezi zinto ezisenza sibe abantu kakhulu zibambe imfihlo yokuthi senza kanjani izinqumo eziyinkimbinkimbi, ezibaluleke kakhulu ezimweni ezinesivinini esikhulu, ezingabizi kakhulu.
Ukuze kucace, kukhona ukunqwabelana okuqinile lapho womabili amakamu evumelana. Enkulumweni ka-2010 , u-Kahneman no-Klein baphikise imibono emibili:
Ubuchopho bethu buthuthukisa ukusetshenziswa kwamandla. Bayadla cishe u-20% wamandla esiwakhiqiza ngosuku (kanye nokucabanga ukuthi u-Aristotle wayecabanga ukuthi umsebenzi oyinhloko wobuchopho kwakumane kuyi-radiator ukuze kugcinwe inhliziyo ingashisi ngokweqile).
Ukusuka lapho, ukusetshenziswa kwamandla ngaphakathi kobuchopho kuyibhokisi elimnyama, kodwa ucwaningo lubonisa, ngokuvamile, imisebenzi edinga ukucutshungulwa okwengeziwe, njengokuxazulula izinkinga eziyinkimbinkimbi, ukwenza izinqumo, kanye nenkumbulo yokusebenza, ivame ukusebenzisa amandla angaphezu kwemisebenzi evamile. noma okuzenzakalelayo, njengokuphefumula nokugaya.
Lokhu ikwenza ngokwakha izinhlaka zalokho uDaniel Kahneman akubiza ngokuthi “ukucabanga”. uhlelo 1 “. Lezi zakhiwo zisebenzisa "izinqamuleli" zokuqonda (i-heuristics) ukuze zenze izinqumo ezonga amandla ezibonakala ziqaphela kodwa ezisekelwe kusisekelo semisebenzi enganakile. Uma siphakamisa izinqumo ezidinga amandla engqondo engeziwe, u-Kahneman ubiza lokhu kucabanga ngokuthi " uhlelo 2".
Kusukela incwadi Kahneman Ukucabanga, Kuyashesha futhi Kunensa ithengisa kakhulu i-New York Times ethandwa kakhulu, ukuchema kanye ne-heuristics ibukela phansi ukuthathwa kwezinqumo - leyo ngqondo ivamise ukuba namaphutha ekwahluleleni komuntu.
Kukhona ukuphikisana nokuchema kanye nemodeli ye-heuristic ehlongozwe u-Kahneman no-Amos Tversky, futhi kugxeka iqiniso lokuthi izifundo zabo zenziwa ezindaweni ezilawulwayo, ezifana nelabhorethri ngezinqumo ezinemiphumela ethile uma kuqhathaniswa (ngokuphambene nokujwayelekile izinqumo eziyinkimbinkimbi, ezibalulekile esizenzayo empilweni nasemsebenzini).
Lezi zihloko ziwela kabanzi ku inqubo yokwenza izinqumo ngemvelo-okunengqondo kanye nemvelo (NDM). Kafushane, ngokuvamile baphikisa into efanayo: Abantu, abahlome ngalawa ma-heuristics, ngokuvamile bathembele ekwenzeni izinqumo ezisekelwe ekuqashelweni. Ukubona amaphethini kokuhlangenwe nakho kwethu kusisiza ukuthi senze izinqumo ngokushesha nangempumelelo kulezi zimo ezinobungozi obukhulu nezingaqinisekile kakhulu.
Abantu bafaneleka ngokwanele ukuhlanganisa ulwazi oluncane kakhulu lube izibonelo zokuthatha izinqumo ngokusekelwe kokuhlangenwe nakho kwethu - noma ngabe izinqumo esizenzayo, ngokwazo, zinengqondo - sinaleli khono lokuhlela amasu.
Njengoba kuvezwe umsunguli we Deep Ingqondo, Demis Hassabis, engxoxweni nge-Lex Friedman, njengoba lezi zinhlelo ezihlakaniphile ziba nobuhlakani, kuba lula ukuqonda ukuthi yini eyenza ukuqonda komuntu kuhluke.
Kubonakala sengathi kunokuthile okujulile komuntu mayelana nesifiso sethu sokuqonda " ipherishi “, qonda incazelo, yenza ngokuqiniseka, ukhuthaze futhi mhlawumbe okubaluleke kakhulu, ubambisane njengeqembu.
“Ubuhlakani bomuntu ngokuyinhloko buphuma ngaphandle, abukho ebuchosheni bakho kodwa empucukweni yakho. Cabanga ngabantu ngabanye njengamathuluzi, ubuchopho babo bungamamojula wesistimu yengqondo emikhulu kakhulu kunabo, uhlelo oluzithuthukisayo futhi oselunesikhathi eside lukhona. — U-Erik J. Larson Inganekwane Yokuhlakanipha Okwenziwayo: Kungani Amakhompiyutha Engakwazi Ukucabanga Njengathi
Nakuba iminyaka engu-50 edlule yenze intuthuko enkulu ekuqondeni indlela esenza ngayo izinqumo, kungase kube ubuhlakani bokwenziwa, ngenxa yemikhawulo yabo, obumbula okwengeziwe ngamandla okuqonda komuntu.
Noma ubuntu buzoba iTamagotchi yabaphathi bethu bamarobhothi…
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