The “ENISA Foresight Cybersecurity Threats for 2030” report aims to give a comprehensive picture of cybersecurity to policy and business, and represents a comprehensive analysis and assessment of emerging cybersecurity threats expected up to the year 2030.
ENISA
European Union Agency for Cybersecurity, is a crucial organization for improving the landscape of Cybersecurity in Europe.
Agency objectives:
ENISA is committed to keeping the level of Cybersecurity in Europe.
It contributes to EU Cybersecurity policy and promotes cooperation with Member States and EU bodies.
It focuses on improving trust in ICT products, services and processes through Cybersecurity certification schemes.
ENISA Foresight Cybersecurity Threats for 2030
The “ENISA Foresight Cybersecurity Threats for 2030” study is an analysis and assessment of cybersecurity up to 2030. The structured and multidimensional methodology used made it possible to predict and establish potential threats. It was first published in 2022, and the current report is on its second update. The assessment provides key insights into how the cybersecurity landscape is evolving:
The analysis highlights the rapid evolution of threats:
actors;
persistent threats;
active states and nations;
sophisticated cyber criminal organizations;
Technology-driven challenges: The adoption of emerging technologies introduces both opportunities and vulnerabilities. The dual nature of technological advances requires proactive cybersecurity measures;
Impact of emerging technologies: Quantum computing and artificial intelligence (AI) emerge as key influencing factors. While these technologies offer significant opportunities, they also introduce new vulnerabilities. The report highlights the importance of understanding and mitigating these risks;
Increased Complexity: Threats are becoming more complex, requiring more sophisticated understanding. The complexity highlights the need for advanced cybersecurity measures;
Proactive cybersecurity measures: Organizations and policymakers are encouraged to take proactive cybersecurity measures. Understand the evolving landscape and threats, be prepared to meet emerging challenges
Forward-looking perspective: the review of ENISA's “Foresight Cybersecurity Threats for 2030” is based on a specific methodology, and collaboration of experts.
Resilient digital environment: By following and adopting the report's insights and recommendations, organizations and policymakers can improve their cybersecurity strategies. This proactive approach aims to ensure a resilient digital environment not only in the year 2030 but also beyond.
TRENDS
Nine trends were detected, the potential alterations and the impact on IT security:
Policies:
Increased political power of non-state actors;
The growing importance of (cyber) security in elections;
Economical:
Data collection and analysis to evaluate user behavior is increasing, especially in the private sector;
Increasing dependence on outsourced IT services;
Social:
Decision making is increasingly based on automated data analysis;
Technological:
The number of satellites in space is increasing and so is our dependence on satellites;
Vehicles are becoming more connected to each other and to the outside world, and less dependent on human intervention;
environmental:
The growing energy consumption of digital infrastructures;
legal:
The ability to control personal data (individual, company or state) is becoming increasingly important;
